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Written by Elmas Bogdani 28 Nëntor 2022

In the show of Vladimir Putin's well-known propagandist, Vladimir Sovolyov, the guests discussed the future moves of Russia's foreign policy. Despite Russian military forces not achieving major military success on the battlefield in Ukraine, guests on Russian state television discussed the next target for the invasion. Anton Geraschenko, an adviser to the Ukrainian interior minister, has published part of this show, which shows how Kazakhstan was chosen as a target for potential invasion in the future. "Let's pay attention to the fact that our next problem is Kazakhstan, because the same Nazi processes can start there as in Ukraine", says one of the guests of the show. Russian-Kazakh relations are officially correct,
What happened to Kazakhstan?
Russia has long held northern Kazakhstan, and this year problems have escalated because the Kazakh authorities do not support Russian aggression against Ukraine, and along the way they are trying to take advantage of Western sanctions against Moscow. The Russians, for their part, repeatedly warn them that they may suffer the fate of Ukraine. Kazakhstan is the ninth largest country in the world and the largest landlocked country, and rich in oil (more than three percent of world reserves) and uranium (41 percent of world production). But also with problems, due to corruption and unfair distribution of national wealth. In 2014, Kazakhstan introduced an article on "separatist activities" in its Criminal Code, which carries prison terms of up to 15 years, and even the extremely rare penalty of deprivation of citizenship, for anyone found guilty of separatism or territorial encroachment on the country. The move came after Russia illegally annexed Crimea from Ukraine and encouraged separatism in Donbass. In the middle of the year at the economic forum in St. Petersburg, in a conversation with Putin, Tokaev dismissed the possibility and condemned the recognition of Luhansk and Donetsk and unequivocally refused to be a "testing ground for Russian avoidance of Western sanctions" because he himself it fears that in that case it may find itself under attack from the West.
Russian oil in Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan relies on Russian pipelines to export oil to Europe, and in July, when Tokayev promised Charles Michel an increase in the volume of Kazakh energy products to Europe, the next day the Russians announced the three-month closure of the Novorossiysk oil terminal due to "ecological defects" and thus practically blocked two-thirds of Kazakhstan's oil exports. Then some well-known regime hawks started talking again about "discrimination against the 3.5 million members of the Russian community in Kazakhstan" and even about "historic Russia" that includes the northern part of that great country.
Europe and China are offering cooperation to Kazakhstan
Kohët e fundit Bashkimi Evropian është përkushtuar për zgjerimin e bashkëpunimit me vendet e Azisë Qendrore, duke përfshirë ndërtimin e korridoreve të transportit duke anashkaluar Rusinë, veçanërisht rrugën e transportit trans-kaspik, zhvillimi i së cilës u diskutua në Kazakistan gjatë punës së tij. udhëtim në Azinë Qendrore. Edhe presidenti kinez Xi Jinping ka dërguar mesazh se shpreson në realizimin me sukses të projektit “Kazakistani i Ri”, për të cilin Tokaev ka folur që nga fillimi i vitit. Që nga viti 1991, investimet kineze në atë vend arrijnë në 20 miliardë dollarë dhe Kazakistani është ndër pesë vendet kryesore për nga vlera e investimeve nga Kina. Përveç kësaj, Kazakistani është një anëtar i rëndësishëm i komunitetit të vendeve turqishtfolëse dhe ekziston gjithashtu një ide e një tubacioni nafte përgjatë fundit të liqenit të Kaspikut drejt Azerbajxhanit, i cili do të lidhej me tubacionet e naftës atje dhe portet turke.
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